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Wednesday 4 March 2026

In your briefing today:

  • Strikes by the US, Israel and Iran continued across the Middle East overnight. There are fears the conflict will widen.

  • The UK’s columnists are divided on what to make of war with Iran

  • Reform’s Scottish leader has been accused of making “racist” remarks about an incident in Edinburgh on Monday.

TODAY’S WEATHER

🌦️ A largely bright day, although Glasgow has started with a little rain and Inverness will see some this afternoon. Edinburgh and Aberdeen should have a bright day. London will be sunny. (Here’s the UK forecast).

THE BIG STORIES
Strikes continue across Middle East as fears of wider war grow | Reform leader’s ‘racist’ remarks | Reeves’ promise

📣 Strikes across the Middle East have continued overnight, with the US consulate in Dubai in flames and Israel launching strikes on targets in both Iran and Lebanon. Explosions have been heard in Tehran and Jerusalem on the fifth day of the war. (BBC) (AP)

Meanwhile, governments around the world are preparing to evacuate citizens stranded in the region. (BBC)

And President Donald Trump’s remarks about Keir Starmer - saying he was “no Churchill” - has raised new questions about the UK-US “special relationship” and the UK’s role in the war. (BBC)

  • Donald Trump’s latest claims on the UK, factchecked (Guardian)

  • The Iran-US war could lead to the largest refugee crisis in decades, the EU has warned (Independent)

  • America’s allies in the Middle East are said to be “begging” Donald Trump for a swift end to the conflict. The reason: they’re running out of ways to defend themselves against Iran’s counterattacks. Drones are cheap, the missiles that intercept them not: firing “gold at plastic” is not financially or logistically sustainable. (Sky News)

  • Trump says the new Iranian leader could be worse than the man he replaces (Independent)

  • Former senior Nato commander Richard Shirreff fears we are living through the outbreak of World War III, with no strategy to bring the war with Iran to a close, and America’s adversaries around the world watching and waiting to take advantage of the US becoming embroiled in the Middle East. (Mail + (£))

  • Funerals have been held for students and staff killed in what Iranian authorities say was a US-Israeli strike on a school in Iran. They say more than 160 people were killed. (BBC)

📣 Reform’s Scottish leader has been accused of making “racist” remarks by blaming illegal immigration for a knife incident in Edinburgh which left two people injured. Malcolm Offord admitted he did not know the full facts about Monday’s events but said “we can tell by the photographs” that a surge in immigration had been a factor. The suspect, widely pictured on social media, had brown skin. (Times - gift link)

  • A man has been charged after a knife incident in Edinburgh on Monday. (STV)

  • Most Reform UK members believe non-white UK citizens born abroad should be encouraged, or forced, to leave. (The Guardian has the exclusive)

📣 Rachel Reeves delivered her Spring Statement with a promise that “people will be over £1,000 a year better off” by 2029, and the next General Election. But there are concerns that war in the Middle East has already rendered the prediction out of date. (Guardian)

  • Reeves said her growth plan was working - but the growth estimate for the year has been lowered (BBC)

  • Rachel Reeves: my pledge to British families (The Mirror)

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AROUND SCOTLAND

📣 Four ships are to be built at the state-owned Ferguson shipyard under plans to directly award the commissions to the troubled yard. But another contract - to replace the CalMac ferry Lord of the Isles - will go to competitive tendering. (BBC)

📣 A domestic abuser whose wife took her own life has been convicted of culpable homicide at the High Court in Glasgow.

📣 Gordon Brown is said to have played an important role behind the scenes in “saving” Keir Starmer after Anas Sarwar’s call for the Prime Minister to stand down. (Daily Record has the exclusive)

📣 Brewdog’s new boss told staff that the brewer’s takeover was a “win”, after 500 of their colleagues lost their jobs. (The Sun has the exclusive)

  • Unions have expressed their anger at how the Brewdog staff were told their jobs had gone: in a 15-minute conference call. (BBC)

AROUND THE UK & WORLD

📣 People from Afghanistan, Cameroon, Myanmar and Sudan will no longer be able to secure UK study visas, Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood has said, with Afghans also being denied skilled work visas, after “widespread visa abuse”. (BBC)

📣 A British grandmother died from rabies months after she was scratched by a stray dog on a Moroccan beach, an inquest has been told. (Sky News)

📣 Alan Cumming has joined the criticism of the BBC’s failure to edit out a racial slur from their Baftas broadcast, saying it turned “what should have been an evening celebrating diversity and inclusion into a trauma-triggering shitshow”. (Guardian)

SPORT

🏉 Scotland have been urged to deliver against France this weekend at Murrayfield, as they face their sternest test of the Six Nations so far. A bonus point win for the French would secure the championship with a game to spare. (Scotsman)

⚽️ Dundee United managed a 2-1 win over St Mirren to keep their faint chances of a top-six finish alive. (BBC)

⚽️ Arne Slot watched his Liverpool side lose 2-1 to Wolves after Andre netted a dramatic 94th-minute winner. (BBC report & highlights)

IDEAS
Columns of note: deciding what to make of war with Iran

🗣️Marina Hyde spots (one of) Keir Starmer’s problems. “Donald Trump says Keir Starmer has damaged the special relationship by not helping him more in the US-Israel war on Iran,” she writes. “But you have to remember that when you do help, Trump pretends you didn’t anyway, and also pisses on your war dead. Still, what could be more enticing than the Americans trying to sell you a timeshare on a war in the Middle East?”

Of Trump and the commentators who have abandoned previous criticism of the US President to support the war, she writes: “Wake up. How many times do you have to get hurt by this wingnut before you start thinking yourself into positions where, actually, his way might not be the answer? More times than we’re up to, apparently. I know they think this is realpolitik. But it’s not. It’s just real forgetful politik.” (Guardian)

🗣️ Allison Pearson is right behind Donald Trump’s comments on Keir Starmer: she says his Commons statement that “the United Kingdom played no role in these strikes” is “the most contemptible sentence Sir Keir Starmer has ever uttered in a hotly-contested field”.

“Iran with a nuclear weapon would make North Korea look like an eight-year-old with a Nerf gun. Once the Mullahs had the bomb, they would not hesitate to inflict a second Holocaust on Israel,” she writes.

“My God, the shame and humiliation that man has brought on the land of Winston Churchill,” she continues. “Even Left-leaning Canada and Australia had the sense to offer Trump their full support over Iran.” (Telegraph - gift link)

🗣️ Not all Telegraph columnists are as solidly behind Trump and his war with Iran. Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, the title’s international business editor, calls the war “reckless”: he notes the Trump administration didn’t fill up the US strategic petroleum reserve, which lies at near their lowest level in 40 years. China has been filling its reserve for a year, at a record rate.

“It is even more careless to launch this war of choice when the Gulf’s oil industry lacks the pipeline infrastructure to replace dependence on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and when there is zero spare capacity in the rest of the world,” he writes.

“If the reduction in tanker traffic continues for a week or so it will be historic. Beyond that it would be epochal for the oil market,” he quotes one oil market expert as saying. Europe will face “a ruinous bill” (Telegraph)

🗣️ Max Hastings also sounded a note of caution. The historian recalls “one of the great lines in modern war,” delivered in Baghdad by General David Petraeus, then commanding the US 101st Airborne Division. “Tell me how this ends”.

Hastings asks the same question of Iran. “That question deserves a credible answer from every national leader who starts a war of choice,” he writes.

“On Saturday Donald Trump urged Iranians to rise up and overthrow the regime. Wellington once said that a man takes upon himself a heavy responsibility when he incites unarmed civilians to revolt against an armed power. The Iranian regime still has a lot of guns, and the opposition does not.

“It seems doubtful that US and Israeli air power alone can generate a successful revolution in this enormous country of 93 million people. The overriding lesson of recent western foreign policy experience is that force cannot achieve good outcomes without a political dimension.” (Times - gift link)

🗣️ But Sarah Vine doesn’t have much time for the influencers left stranded in Dubai. “Obviously, no one wishes them any harm – and we pray they all get out unscathed. But one can’t help feeling a slight shiver of schadenfreude here,” she writes.

“Let’s face it, they’re not exactly desperate refugees, are they? Their numbers include the debatable Andrew Tate, who has a base in one of the city’s exclusive neighbourhoods, from where he broadcasts his bombastic credo to his armies of loser wannabes.” (Mail + (£))

👍 That’s your Early Line for the day

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