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Thursday 9 April 2026

In your briefing today:

  • The ceasefire in the Middle East, barely 24 hours old, is teetering this morning

  • The SNP has surged ahead in polling, with Labour potentially looking at fourth place

  • Scotland’s columnists have their say on Scotland’s benefits revolution, the “bully” Trump, the EV moment, and awful Offord

TODAY’S WEATHER

🌦️ In contrast to yesterday’s lovely conditions, expect rain all day today. It’ll be heavy in Glasgow but less so in Edinburgh, Aberdeen and Inverness. London will have a bright start, clouding over a little later. (Here’s the UK forecast).

THE BIG STORIES
Middle East ceasefire on the brink | SNP surge ahead in latest poll | Acclaimed Scots cameraman dies

📣 The Middle East ceasefire is at risk of unravelling amid a flurry of Israeli strikes on Lebanon, which have killed “at least” 254 people, and a continuing impasse over shipping being able to transit the Strait of Hormuz. There are growing calls - including from UK Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper - for Lebanon to be included in the ceasefire deal. She also called for shipping through the Strait to be toll-free. (Guardian) (BBC)

  • Israel hits 100 targets in 10 minutes in Lebanon (Independent)

  • There are concerns Donald Trump’s “victory lap” over Iran is premature, with Iran still militarily dangerous and capable of continuing to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed. (WSJ)

  • Iran says the US has violated parts of the deal, and says the ceasefire is “unreasonable” (AP)

  • Trump has, again, promised the “destruction” of Iran, should it not comply with the terms of the ceasefire. (Mirror)

  • Nato General Secretary met Trump for a “very frank” meeting at the White House. Trump later lambasted the alliance for not “being there when we need them”. (BBC) (Mail)

  • New accounts on Polymarket, a prediction market, bet big on a US-Iran ceasefire only hours before his announcement. The news fuels concerns that insiders are profiting hugely from the US/Iran conflict. (AP)

  • Europe’s airlines will face jet fuel shortages and high prices for months, despite the ceasefire (Politico)

📣 The latest opinion polling shows the SNP well out in front, with John Swinney seeing his personal rating rise ahead of next month’s election. The Ipsos Scotland poll, for STV, shows the SNP on 39% of the constituency vote - up 3% and 24% ahead of Labour, on 15%. Reform is also on 15%. But four in ten voters also say they may change their mind ahead of polling day. (STV)

  • Mix in list votes and the Greens could come second, with Reform third and Labour fourth. (Express)

  • Scottish Labour is promising £30 million to give Scottish artists and musicians a living wage, mirroring a similar scheme in Ireland. (Guardian)

  • Scottish Conservative leader Russell Findlay has been listing the quangos he’d like to abolish: the list includes the Scottish Land Commission, Community Justice Scotland, ferry infrastructure owner Caledonian Maritime Assets Limited (CMAL) and Architecture and Design Scotland. (Mail)

📣 Acclaimed wildlife cameraman and photographer Doug Allan has died while trekking in Nepal. Allan, from Dunfermline, died “immersed in nature and surrounded by friends” while trekking in Nepal, his management company said.

If you’ve watched any major British-made nature documentary in recent decades, you’ve seen his work: he was the principal cameraman for programmes including The Blue Planet and Frozen Planet, and spent much of his career working alongside Sir David Attenborough.

He won eight Emmy Awards, and was made an OBE in 2024. (BBC) (Scotsman)

  • (From 2014) Doug Allan: my perfect weekend (Telegraph)

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AROUND SCOTLAND

📣 Most Scottish GPs believe patient safety is being compromised because of excessive workloads, a survey from the Royal College of GPs has revealed. Almost half reported a decline in their own mental well-being over the last year. (The Herald has the exclusive)

  • More than 200 paediatricians have called for urgent action to address declining child health across Scotland. (Scotsman)

📣 Plans for a £480 million hotel and golf course on farmland in Angus have been unveiled. An investment firm, Mocca Capital, is behind the plans: Hyatt would operate a hotel on the development. (STV)

📣 Tourette’s campaigner John Davidson is unimpressed by the BBC’s apology after it found it had breached its own editorial standards in broadcasting a racial slur involuntarily uttered by him during its Bafta coverage. The coverage sparked a global firestorm, with Davidson a target of abuse. (Daily Record)

AROUND THE UK & WORLD

📣 Billionaire Ben Delo is returning to the UK from Hong Kong to donate millions to Reform, having accused Keir Starmer of creating a “rigged game” by restricting foreign donations to political parties. (Independent)

📣 Genetics could determine how well weight-loss jabs work for people - with some having genes which both ensure greater weight loss, and worse side-effects from some of the medicines. (BBC)

📣 “Ketamine Queen” Jasveen Sangha, who supplied the drugs that killed Friends actor Matthew Perry, has been jailed for 15 years over charges related to his death. Sangha told the court she regretted her “poor choices” and “horrible decisions that ultimately proved tragic.” (NBC News)

📣 A mystery surrounding a famous 300-million-year-old fossil of an octopus may have been solved: it’s not actually an octopus, scientists think. (Independent)

SPORT

⚽️ Liverpool have it all to do to save their season next week: they sank 2-0 to PSG in Paris last night in a performance “devoid of ambition” and will need to be a lot better in the second leg to stand a chance of progress in the Champions League. (BBC report & highlights)

  • Athletico Madrid snatched an impressive 2-0 win away to Barcelona, with the hosts reduced to 10 men just before half time. (BBC report & highlights)

⚽️ Hearts boss Derek McInnes says he’s excited by the season finale with Celtic that has some of his supporters hopping mad. (Daily Record)

⚽️ Celtic’s “Green Brigade” ultras group has been re-admitted to Parkhead - but are now claiming “vindication” and demanding an apology from the club after their five-month lockout. (Daily Record)

IDEAS
What the columnists are saying: Scotland’s benefits revolution | World wakes up to bully Trump | Is this the EV moment? | Awful Offord is taking Reform down

🗣️ One pound in every seven spent by the Scottish Government is on benefits, notes Kenny Farquharson. “Vast” amounts of public spending were switched to the fight against poverty over the last Scottish Parliament. “The birth and growth of the Scottish welfare state is perhaps the biggest single thing to happen in Scottish society in recent years,” he writes.

You won’t hear much about it among Scotland’s middle classes, he writes, because so few receive any benefits.

But one in three children in Scotland receives the Scottish Child Payment. The disability payment regime has been liberalised. And there are a host of issues which our politicians could be debating, related to this boom in support - the “overmedicalisation of anxiety and stress”, the “cliff-edge effect of the child payment,” the potential “disincentive to work”.

It’s a huge shift in our politics - and if the SNP and Labour are not willing to be candid about it, and discuss its impact, the door is left open for the centre and hard right to make the running, he warns. (The Times)

🗣️ The world is finally waking up to “foul-mouthed bully Donald Trump”, writes former First Minister Henry McLeish. “A line from playwright Alan Bennett’s The History Boys seems apt,” he writes, “based on the rhetoric and chaos emanating from the White House: ‘History is just one f***ing thing after another.’

“‘Operation Epic Fury’ – the US name for its attacks on Iran – has been more like ‘Operation Epic F***-Up’,” he says.

“The last 15 months of Trump feel more like 15 years, but there are signs that the real world is weary of crisis and chaos, and is now responding. Our fragile planet cannot be run from the White House.” (The Scotsman)

🗣️ Is it finally time to buy an electric car? Vicky Allan watches diesel prices creeping up towards £2 a litre and says “yes”. She listened to Professor Tim Lenton backing that view, too, at a talk at the Edinburgh Science Festival. He told Allan: “We are getting to the point where it’s not only the better technology but also the cheaper one, and with fuel prices going crazy with another war happening, that can only convince us further that running around on dirt-cheap electricity is the better option.”

There may be clouds on the horizon, though: EV drivers aren’t totally immune from the Gulf crisis, as electricity prices are likely to go up. Those on standard electricity tariffs, or those who rely on public chargers, “are likely to feel more of a pinch” than those on off-peak tariffs. You still need to do your homework. (The Herald)

🗣️Malcolm Offord has, indeed, succeeded in taking Reform “to a new level” in Scotland, reflects Euan McColm. Unfortunately for him, that’s some way south of where it was a year ago. “The political graveyard is littered with the failed careers of men – and it’s always men – like Malcolm Offord who try to make the transition from business to politics,” notes McColm.

“These guys, with their Thomas Pink shirts and their signet rings, built their success in a world in which nobody ever stood up to them.

“Politics brings with it a level of scrutiny for which Mr Offord and others like him are unprepared.” (Mail)

👍 That’s your Early Line for the day

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